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Market Commentary
TARIFFS, MY TWO CENTS
April 12, 2025
Recent craziness in the stock and bond markets has nothing to do with tariffs and all to do with politics. It’s an anti-Trump statement made by the global elites who don’t want any disruption to their apple cart – and who are mad at Trump for throwing a wrench into their nest-egg.
First, tariffs alone cannot cause recession in America. If that were true, every time taxes were increased a recession would ensue. But that never happens.
Tariffs are just taxes, and like all taxes…
TRUMP, DOGE, and the CHALLENGE AHEAD
February 24, 2025
Ronald Reagan once perceptively noted, “We don’t have inflation because people are living too well. We have inflation because government is living too well.”
Exactly.
The last time America’s financial condition could be considered healthy was back in the late 1990’s, when Bill Clinton worked with the Gingrich Congress to effectuate some semblance of fiscal sanity.
It is a model America should relentlessly pursue.
THE TRUMP REVOLUTION
January 20, 2025
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen recently announced that U.S. central government will hit the debt ceiling one day after Trump takes office, on January 21, 2025. That is to say, it will essentially be “out of money” because it will no longer be able to issue more new debt (U.S. bonds) to cover its operating deficit.
Debt is required because U.S. central government spends more money than it takes in (spending $7 trillion per year against annual tax receipts of $5 trillion). As a frame of reference, the shortfall ($2 trillion) is the same size as the entire Russian economy (as measured by GDP).
Washington DC is a giant cesspool of waste, corruption and incompetency.
